Key insights

• ⬆️ Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high before the halving, forming a triple top pattern.
• 📈 Stock-to-flow model indicates Bitcoin's value at the model line, consistent with previous halving cycles.
• 🔮 New prediction suggests even higher future price for Bitcoin, potentially reaching 100k this year.
• 📅 Model suggests a steep increase in price and a projected top in 2025, with a top at 200k considered underwhelming from a stock to flow perspective.
• 💰 Bitcoin price expected to exceed 500k by 2025, with advice to anticipate market cycles and potential volatility.
• 📈 RSI at highest level ever before a halfing could suggest sustained exponential growth, with the 200-day moving average at 33,000 considered a floor in a bull market.
• 📊 Onchain indicators more reliable in a bull market, with a conservative floor at 44,000 and an aggressive floor at 60,000 for Bitcoin price.
• 💹 Realized return of over 60% for sellers confirms a bull market, with Bitcoin in profit at all-time high levels.

Q&A

• What are the conservative and aggressive floor values for Bitcoin price, and how does the realized return confirm a bull market?

  The conservative floor for Bitcoin price is at $44,000, with an aggressive floor at $60,000. Sellers have realized a return of over 60%, confirming a bull market, indicating that Bitcoin is in profit at all-time high levels.

• How reliable are onchain indicators in a bull market, and what is the realized price indicating?

  In a bull market, onchain indicators are deemed more reliable than Bitcoin's price divergence from the 200-week moving average. The realized price is rising quickly, and the two-year realized price, excluding specific coins, is considered a better indicator, confirming a conservative floor at 44,000 in bull markets.

• What is the significance of the 200-day moving average and the RSI level before the halving?

  The 200-day moving average at 33,000 is seen as a floor in a bull market. The RSI at the highest level ever before a halving suggests potential sustained exponential growth for Bitcoin.

• How should one navigate potential volatility and market dips in Bitcoin's price?

  Traders are advised not to panic during market dips, as they are considered normal within the anticipated market cycles. Technical indicators like RSI can be used for insights into market conditions to navigate the potential volatility.

• What are the predictions for Bitcoin's future price and potential top values?

  There are predictions for Bitcoin's price to reach 100k this year, with potential for even higher values in the future. It is also projected to surpass 500k by 2025, with a potential top and a deemed underwhelming value from a stock-to-flow perspective.

• What does the stock-to-flow model indicate about Bitcoin's value and halving cycles?

  The stock-to-flow model suggests that Bitcoin's value is at the model line, consistent with previous halving cycles. It indicates a potential for sustained exponential growth, as observed before halving events.

• 00:00 Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high before the halving, following a triple top pattern. The stock-to-flow model indicates that Bitcoin's value is at the model line, as observed in previous halving cycles. A new prediction suggests an even higher price for Bitcoin in the future.
• 01:56 Cryptocurrency expert predicts Bitcoin reaching 100k this year with a potential for much higher value in the future. The timeline suggests a steep increase in price and a projected top in 2025. A top at 200k is deemed underwhelming from a stock to flow perspective.
• 04:08 Predictions for Bitcoin price to surpass 500k by 2025, anticipating market cycles with potential volatility and advice not to panic during dips. Technical indicators like RSI used for insights into market conditions.
• 06:13 The RSI is at the highest level ever before a halfing, indicating potential sustained exponential growth. The 200-day moving average is 33,000, seen as a floor in a bull market.
• 08:34 Bitcoin price divergence, onchain indicators more reliable in bull market. Realized price rising fast, two-year realized price a better indicator without 1 million Satoshi coins. Conservative floor at 44,000 in bull markets.
• 10:39 Bitcoin price predictions indicate a conservative floor at $44,000 and an aggressive floor at $60,000. Realized return of over 60% for sellers confirms a bull market. Bitcoin in profit at all-time high levels.